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India, China Step up Protection from Global Crisis
News Source
Bloomberg.com
November 03, 2008
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India and China are accelerating efforts to prop up growth as a global slump threatens the world's fastest-expanding major economies.

The Reserve Bank of India on Nov. 1 lowered its benchmark interest rate for the second time in two weeks, and for the first time in 11 years reduced the amount of money lenders are required to keep in government bonds. China's central bank removed temporary controls over loans to maintain ``relatively fast'' growth, Xinhua News Agency reported Nov. 1, three days after cutting its key rate for the third time in two months.

``The gathering crisis in more advanced economies is forcing Asian policy makers to jettison assumptions about the health of export sectors,'' said Mark Williams, an international economist at Capital Economics Ltd. in London. ``Interest rates will tumble.''

Emerging Asian economies that account for one-fifth of world growth are being dragged down as their main markets in the U.S. and Europe contract, increasing the likelihood of a global recession. Policy makers in India and China are also boosting spending to prevent their economies from going under.

Chinese and Indian stocks rose after the weekend announcements. The CSI 300 Index, which tracks yuan-denominated A shares listed on China's two exchanges, gained 0.9 percent to 1,678.71 at the 11:30 a.m. local time break. India's benchmark Sensex Index jumped 5.71 percent 10,346.72 at 10 a.m. in Mumbai.

`First Priority'

India's Finance Minister Palaniappan Chidambaram is planning to spend an extra 2.4 trillion rupees ($49 billion) this year, telling parliament last month that now was ``the right time'' to stimulate the economy.

China's Premier Wen Jiabao says sustaining economic growth is the government's ``first priority.'' China has already raised export incentives, cut costs for home buyers and pledged infrastructure spending.

India and China need to move fast to implement their stimulus plans, with growth already slowing in Asia's second- and third-largest economies amid weaker foreign demand.

Asian policy makers understand the importance of ``reacting extremely quickly and extremely aggressively to try to stimulate growth and prevent the worst-case scenario,'' said David Mann, senior strategist at Standard Chartered Plc in Hong Kong.

China's $3.3 trillion economy grew at the slowest pace in five years in the three months through September as export orders shrank and industrial production waned. The expansion cooled for a fifth straight quarter, to a 9 percent gain from a year earlier.

Declining Manufacturing

The Purchasing Managers' Index prepared by China Federation of Logistics and Purchasing fell to a seasonally adjusted 44.6 in October, the lowest reading since the gauge was launched in July 2005, according to a Nov. 1 statement. A reading below 50 reflects a contraction in manufacturing.

India's central bank said last month that growth in that $1.2 trillion economy may be as little as 7.5 percent in the year to March 31, compared with 9 percent in the previous 12 months. That would be the weakest pace since 2005.

The People's Bank of China and India's central bank, along with the U.S. Federal Reserve and the Bank of Japan, are already moving to lower borrowing costs and stimulate consumer spending and investment.

Over the weekend, India cut its repurchase rate to 7.5 percent from 8 percent, reduced the amount of deposits that lenders need to set aside as reserves to 5.5 percent from 6.5 percent, and lowered the amount of money lenders are required to keep in government bonds to 24 percent from 25 percent.

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